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Plus, moreIdeas. The first can perform tasks independently without human intervention, such as the operation of autonomous vehicles, personal assistants and drones. She's helped put together funding rounds and acquisitions for companies like TuSimple and NuTonomy, the startup that turned into Motional. The firm's telecom . We have the experience and agility to partner with clients from individual investors to global CEOs. We deliver active investment strategies across public and private markets and custom solutions to institutional and individual investors. Autonomous cars combine a variety of techniques to perceive their surroundings, including radar, laser light, GPS, odometry, and computer vision. Yeung notes that the Chinese government has invested heavily in public transportation. The intersection of many technologies, such as ultra-efficient batteries, autonomous systems, and advanced manufacturing processes are spawning a flurry of activity in this space," says Adam Jonas, Head of Morgan Stanley's Global Auto and Shared Mobility research team. Elon Musk says Tesla's next vehicle will operate 'almost entirely in Long-term trends, including technology's impact on pricing, are likely to keep inflation at bay for longer than economists originally expected. Drones and VTOLs could be part of the evolving solution of last-mile parcel delivery challenges, says Ravi Shanker, equity analyst covering the North American transportation industry. We offer scalable investment products, foster innovative solutions and provide actionable insights across sustainability issues. It involves creating two autonomous systems one using only cameras, the other radar and lidar that can operate safely on their own, then bringing the two systems together. A monthly publication featuring the Global Multi-Asset Teams latest views on the economic and market environment and how best to position portfolios. 5 Sustainable Investing Trends for Companies and Investors, 7 Investment Ideas That Could Drive Markets in 2023, Yes, You Can Be a Tech Innovator at Morgan Stanley, Head of Global Auto and Shared Mobility Research. Our board of directors and senior executives hold the belief that capital can and should benefit all of society. The interior of a Tesla . Military drones have been around for years, and electrified, autonomous vertical takeoff and landing vehicles (VTOLs) are gaining traction. We offer timely, integrated analysis of companies, sectors, markets and economies, helping clients with their most critical decisions. In 1940, automaker Henry Ford said, "Mark my words: a combination airplane and motorcar is coming." Timeline for adoption of autonomous vehicles by Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley Blue Papers, a product of our Research Division, involve collaboration from analysts, economists and strategists across the globe and address long-term, structural business changes that are reshaping the fundamentals of entire economies and industries around the globe. See how you can make meaningful contributions as a student or recent graduate at Morgan Stanley. Why Waymo Is Worth A Staggering $175 Billion Even Before - Forbes At Morgan Stanley, we focus the expertise of the entire firmour advice, data, strategies and insightson creating solutions for our clients, large and small. See how you can make meaningful contributions as a student or recent graduate at Morgan Stanley. Warning investors that a Tesla stock is high risk and high reward is his. We rely on our technologists around the world to create leading-edge, secure platforms for all our businesses. Over 90% of all traffic accidents are caused by human error.1 With 40,000 U.S. traffic fatalities and 1.2 million globally every year,2 removing humans from the driving equation could significantly reduce accidentspotentially benefiting both vehicle-related injury and mortality while reducing health care spending and the potential revenue opportunity for property and casualty insurance. At Morgan Stanley, youll find trusted colleagues, committed mentors and a culture that values diverse perspectives, individual intellect and cross-collaboration. Ask your Morgan Stanley representative or Financial Advisorfor the full report, The Shared Autonomous 30 (Sep 22, 2016). Across all our businesses, we offer keen insight on today's most critical issues. Advanced control systems interpret sensory. Hear their stories and learn about how they are redefining the terms of success. For decades, the health of the automotive industry has been measured by the number of vehicles sold. All investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal. The first applications should take the form of small fleets, traveling slower than 25 miles per hour, fully autonomous, fully electric, and geographically limited to as little as one square mile. Consider that cars on average are in operation for only about an hour each day, but they account for 45% of global oil demand and, on average, 3,500 daily deaths worldwide." Theodosiou-Pisanelli and her team are responsible for defining the products Aurora builds for its growing list of partners and running the programs that deliver them. Morgan Stanley's U.S. Research teams worked together to identify 30 companies that they believe are favorably exposed to growth opportunities in a world moving toward shared mobility, autonomous driving, and electrification. "And as long as these vehicles are human-driven, logistical inefficiencies will persist. Please be aware that this Portfolio may be subject to certain additional risks. Companies in this space could benefit significantly from higher consumer adoption of electric vehicles. There is no assurance that a Portfolio will achieve its investment objective. 5 Sustainable Investing Trends for Companies and Investors, 7 Investment Ideas That Could Drive Markets in 2023, Yes, You Can Be a Tech Innovator at Morgan Stanley. "Compared to the other regions globally, we assume slower miles-traveled growth and lower shared-mobility penetration in Europe," says Morgan Stanley analyst Harald Hendrikse. Adam Jonas, Morgan Stanleys Head of Global Auto & Shared Mobility Research, says A confluence of competitive, technological and regulatory forces have pulled-forward auto makers plans to aggressively introduce EVs over the next 3 to 5 years vs. 20 to 25 years previously. Jim Caron, Co-Lead Global Portfolio Manager and Co-Chief Investment Officer of the Global Balanced Risk Control (GBaR) Team, shares his macro thematic views on key market drivers. However, the picture isnt entirely rosy for suppliers. While a handful of automakers have already launched BEVs, increased consumer interestand an increasingly tight regulation landscapewill lead others to do so. But now Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas has come up with another ingenious 2-by-2 chart so much en vogue with international strategy consultants which highlights the core transformative forces at work. How this transition plays out will have significant impact on component suppliers, semiconductor manufacturers, commodities, chemical producers and players in capital goods. For further details, please see our Terms of Use. All rights reserved. In logistics, drone package delivery is in active testing. Today's shared vehicles still have drivers, but if the market's full potential is to be reached, that too will change. document.write(new Date().getFullYear()); MorganStanley.All rights reserved. How to pay for such charging also remains an open question, now that free charging seems to have gone by the wayside. In-depth insights on emerging and global markets for spotting hot growth stories. "In True Redundancy, Hayon has designed for future AVs a system that ensures uncompromised safety and unmatched scalability," the spokesperson said. We leverage the full resources of our firm to help individuals, families and institutions reach their financial goals. Browning was a senior faculty member of Carnegie Mellon's Robotics Institute and worked on mapping and localization technology for Uber's autonomous-vehicle unit before joining Argo, in 2016. Insider asked self-driving startups, analysts, and VCs to nominate the industry's biggest stars. Portfolios are subject to, Prior to making any investment decision, investors should carefully review the strategys relevant offering document. Since our founding in 1935, Morgan Stanley has consistently delivered first-class business in a first-class way. But in a future of shared, autonomous vehicles with much higher utilization, electric cars make far more economic sense than their gasoline counterparts. All investments involve risks, including the possible loss of principal. Our insightful research, advisory and investing capabilities give us unique and broad perspective on sustainability topics. In 1940, automaker Henry Ford said, Mark my words: a combination airplane and motorcar is coming. Ford was teased for the statement, but now, decades later, the same technologies that power drones and steer autonomous vehicles could launch flying cars from the pages of sci-fi comics to the skies of our cities. Any charts and graphs provided are for illustrative purposes only. This material is a general communication, which is not impartial, is for informational and educational purposes only, not a recommendation to purchase or sell specific securities, or to adopt any particular investment strategy. Called STEEPL, the tool is used to gauge a region's social, technological, economic, environmental, political and legal landscape as it pertains to the automotive market. The services described on this website may not be available in all jurisdictions or to all persons. Automotive Industry Future: Research | Morgan Stanley as well as fewer regulatory hurdles. Tell us about yourself. Get the latest insights, analyses and market trends in our newsletter, podcasts and videos. As a global financial services firm, Morgan Stanley is committed to technological innovation. Morgan Stanley helps people, institutions and governments raise, manage and distribute the capital they need to achieve their goals. This kind of transformation isnt a flashy two-seater with lots of zoom but limited accommodation. The global presence that Morgan Stanley maintains is key to our clients' success, giving us keen insight across regions and markets, and allowing us to make a difference around the world. In the auto supply chain, BEVs could drive new opportunities for suppliers since newer products typically have higher prices and higher margins. Get the latest insights, analyses and market trends in our newsletter, podcasts and videos. Battery costs have been a major barrier to increasing BEV penetration. But the ultimate goal of industry leaders is moving people. Slow dealmaking. Find a Financial Advisor, Branch and Private Wealth Advisor near you. Meruva was a software engineer at Uber and BMW before joining Trucks. At Morgan Stanley, we focus the expertise of the entire firmour advice, data, strategies and insightson creating solutions for our clients, large and small. Autonomous vehicles use a suite of sensors, actuators and a central computer to "perceive" the environment and automate the driving process, thereby enabling the vehicles to drive themselves without human involvement. In a new BluePaper from Morgan Stanley Research, a cross-section of the firms equity analysts detail how investment in autonomous flying aircraft is accelerating, with implications for the future of passenger travel, military and defense applications, and freight and package transportation. In general,equities securitiesvalues also fluctuate in response to activities specific to a company. We have the experience and agility to partner with clients from individual investors to global CEOs. Morgan Stanley's analyst team thinks the answer could be yes. Autonomous vehicles could change not only the way we move from point A to point B, but also how we live our lives. Discover who we are and the right opportunity for you. It's the only custom-built robotaxi that can drive up to 75 mph, a Zoox representative said. Our culture of access and inclusion has built our legacy and shapes our future, helping to strengthen our business and bring value to clients. See how you can continue your career journey at Morgan Stanley. We offer timely, integrated analysis of companies, sectors, markets and economies, helping clients with their most critical decisions. Portfolios are subject tomarket risk, which is the possibility that the market values of securities owned by the Portfolio will decline and that the value of Portfolio shares may therefore be less than what you paid for them. Counterpoint Globals culture fosters collaboration, creativity, continued development, and differentiated thinking. Privately placed and restricted securitiesmay be subject to resale restrictions as well as a lack of publicly available information, which will increase their illiquidity and could adversely affect the ability to value and sell them (liquidity risk). While it's true that electric cars have hardly taken the market by storm, Jonas notes that, today, the same low utilization of private cars that so invites market disruption also torpedoes any cost efficiencies an electric car could deliver. Portfolios are subject tomarket risk, which is the possibility that the market values of securities owned by the Portfolio will decline and that the value of Portfolio shares may therefore be less than what you paid for them. Additionally, an aviation company has begun investing in a helicopter ride-hailing service. Cathode manufacturers are gearing up for substantial increases in production but could face associated pressure on their pricing levels. We offer scalable investment products, foster innovative solutions and provide actionable insights across sustainability issues. After an exceptional year for mergers and acquisitions in 2018, Morgan Stanley bankers expect the market to stay strong, albeit with some shifting dynamics. Morgan Stanley thinks time spent in cars will jump by 25% by 2030 and these stocks will benefit. Your Privacy Choices Piper is an auto-industry veteran with a rsum that included Saab, Ferrari, and Qoros Auto before he landed at Zoox in 2016. We offer scalable investment products, foster innovative solutions and provide actionable insights across sustainability issues. Ask your Morgan Stanley representative or Financial Advisor for the full report, "The Shared Autonomous 30" (Sep 22, 2016). Get the latest insights, analyses and market trends in our newsletter, podcasts and videos. National Highway Transportation Safety A dministration (NHTSA 2013): Multicultural and women entrepreneurs are the cutting-edge leaders of businesses that power markets. For 87 years, weve had a passion for whats possible. Prior to 2026, Morgan Stanley predicts our cars will be able to be driven autonomously, but the driver will need to remain attentive in the case of an emergency, as the infrastructure for autonomous cars will not be fully developed. Indeed, Many of the full benefits of a shared, electric, and autonomous ecosystem may take decades to fully play out, he says, but industry developments and investor appreciation of the technological path can have a material impact on share prices of select companies even over a three-year horizon.. Counterpoint Global discusses the evolution of enterprise drones and its disruptive impact. Apple's potential autonomous car is called the ultimate - SeekingAlpha We provide comprehensive workplace financial solutions for organizations and their employees, combining personalized advice with modern technology. Semiconductors are also critical for improving the range of a BEV, and recent developments in silicon carbine technology offer the possibilities of 20% more mileage from a single battery pack, along with 20% less charging time. There are also schemes where the end user pays a fixed monthly fee affording them unlimited miles, akin to mobile phone pricing, says Ashworth. Flying Car and Autonomous Aircraft Research | Morgan Stanley Benefits would include improved package delivery service to rural areas, decreased shipping costs and reduced congestion in urban areas. The coming of autonomous vehicles could change our conception of personal transportation. Morgan Stanley Distribution, Inc. Ideas across disciplines uncover novel insights for sharper decision-making. Let's start with Morgan Stanley. The report projects a total addressable market of $1.5 trillion for autonomous aircraft by 2040, creating opportunities for investors and benefiting a host of sectors along the way. MORGAN STANLEY RESEARCH November 6, 2013 Autonomous Cars: Self-Driving the New Auto Industry Paradigm Contributors to this Report Autos & Auto-Related Ravi Shanker1 Adam Jonas1 Paresh Jain1 Yejay Ying1 +1 (212) 761-6350 +1 (212) 761-1726 +1 (212) 761-3354 +1 (212) 761-7096 More companies are designing for the IoT, using tiny low-cost sensors to enable connectivity and controlgiving a boost to the semiconductor sector. Electric-powered vehicles can deliver yet more efficiency. The car you summon from your smartphone doesn't have a driver. Telecom and communications systems will be crucial to the shared, autonomous ecosystem, which will require a transformation of the supporting infrastructure to connect vehicles to other vehicles, and vehicles to infrastructure, handling high-volume data reliably and securely. In 2022, Ford plans to launch a delivery service with self-driving vehicles powered by Argo's tech. Most of the battery cell costs are driven by the price of materials and composition, Hendrikse says. Any performance quoted represents past performance. Our insightful research, advisory and investing capabilities give us unique and broad perspective on sustainability topics. "Your car is arguably one of the most underutilized, polluting, time-consuming and dangerous machines on Earth," says Adam Jonas, head of global auto research for Morgan Stanley. In a new BluePaper, Morgan Stanley Research says autonomous urban aircraft may no longer be the stuff of comic books. portfolio liquidity) of events. Privacy & Cookies In general,equities securitiesvalues also fluctuate in response to activities specific to a company. Morgan Stanleys U.S.Researchteams worked together to identify 30 companies that they believe are favorably exposed to growth opportunities in a world moving toward shared mobility, autonomous driving, and electrification. Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, who covers Tesla, referred to Apple's car as "the ultimate EV bear case" and called the tech giant's entry into the space a "clear negative for much of our. The 100-year-old auto industry, engineered for success based on millions of units sold, is facing unprecedented technological disruption from shared, autonomous and electric mobility, and has begun to rethink and remodel its business strategies around "trillions of miles traveled.". Before joining Tesla, in 2017, he worked at OpenAI as a research scientist. A monthly publication featuring the Global Multi-Asset Teams latest views on the economic and market environment and how best to position portfolios. At Morgan Stanley, we lead with exceptional ideas. Autonomous vehicles could change not only the way we move from point A to point B, but also how we live our lives. It is the responsibility of every person reading this material to fully observe the laws of any relevant country, including obtaining any governmental or other consent which may be required or observing any other formality which needs to be observed in that country. All rights reserved. "Laura and the Motional team are behind some of the self-driving industry's largest leaps forward," a Motional spokesperson told Insider. We have the experience and agility to partner with clients from individual investors to global CEOs. "We see the first serious application of fully autonomous transport to be in the form of public-private partnerships at a hyper-localized level of a city center," Jonas says. For further details, please see our Terms of Use. | Are autonomous cars the killer application for 5G? As Zach said in that article, Morgan Stanley was warning potential investors that Tesla could go up a lot or down a lot. They also may be subject to counterparty, liquidity, valuation, correlation and market risks. It could also unlock more than 600 billion hours per year of driver and passenger time currently spent in vehicles. Toward that end, the CEO of a major airplane manufacturer announced in September, 2018, that the company is investing in urban mobility and flying taxis." Under that scenario, by mid-century BEVswould comprise as much as 90% of all vehicle sales. For European banks, financial inclusion is not only socially responsibleit may help drive sustained economic growth in emerging markets. Our board of directors and senior executives hold the belief that capital can and should benefit all of society. Regina Savage, global head of automotive and mobility technology, Morgan Stanley Regina Savage The autonomous-vehicle industry has been a hot sector for investment banks in recent years,. Andrej Karpathy is a key figure behind the development of Tesla's Autopilot driver-assistance system. Morgan Stanley shared its favorite 30 autonomous driving stock picks in a note to clients Thursday. What are the implications of a future of shared, autonomous and electric vehicles? We deliver active investment strategies across public and private markets and custom solutions to institutional and individual investors. Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty explained the profit potential for Apple in a research note she issued in January. Underpinning all that we do are five core values. Any performance quoted represents past performance. Whether its hardware, software or age-old businesses, everything today is ripe for disruption. "Whenever I'm hearing about a big deal going down, I'm usually trying to get a hold of Regina to see what she's heard," he said. As a global financial services firm, Morgan Stanley is committed to technological innovation. We believe our greatest asset is our people. Plus, more Ideas. Morgan Stanley helps people, institutions and governments raise, manage and distribute the capital they need to achieve their goals. Mobileye has been a leader in bringing automated-driving technology to the road through its advanced driver-assistance software and hardware. Shipping goods would likely be the first use case because of the lower degree of technological barriers (weight, size, etc.) From our startup lab to our cutting-edge research, we broaden access to capital for diverse entrepreneurs and spotlight their success. We provide comprehensive workplace financial solutions for organizations and their employees, combining personalized advice with modern technology. Macro and thematic insights shaping the global investment landscape. We help people, businesses and institutions build, preserve and manage wealth so they can pursue their financial goals. Stay abreast of the latest trends and developments. We have global expertise in market analysis and in advisory and capital-raising services for corporations, institutions and governments. A monthly outlook for global fixed income markets, including an in-depth review of key sectors. Battery technology, processing and computing power, and advanced composite systems all overlap with eVTOL aircraft manufacturing. Counterpoint Globals culture fosters collaboration, creativity, continued development, and differentiated thinking. We deliver active investment strategies across public and private markets and custom solutions to institutional and individual investors. Motional is one of two companies that operate autonomous ride-hailing vehicles that are open to the public. Before joining Aurora, in 2019, she was Lyft's director of business development and strategy, where she focused on automated-driving technology. Global institutions, leading hedge funds and industry innovators turn to Morgan Stanley for sales, trading and market-making services. Morgan Stanley leadership is dedicated to conducting first-class business in a first-class way. For the complete content and important disclosures, refer to the articles PDF. Everything we do at Morgan Stanley is guided by our five core values: Do the right thing, put clients first, lead with exceptional ideas, commit to diversity and inclusion, and give back. Improvements in the energy density of the cathodethe terminal through which electric current flowswill reduce the amount of metal required per kilowatt hour, thereby lowering the metal requirement and the metal price risk.. The impact of flying cars would only be limited by imagination. Any charts and graphs provided are for illustrative purposes only. See how we can help you work toward your goalseven as they evolve over years or generations. Learn from our industry leaders about how to manage your wealth and help meet your personal financial goals. It is important that users read the Terms of Use before proceeding as it explains certain legal and regulatory restrictions applicable to the dissemination of information pertaining to Morgan Stanley Investment Management's investment products. This is a nascent market, and there will be many different ways to pay for BEV charging in the coming years.. document.write(new Date().getFullYear()); MorganStanley.All rights reserved. A career at Morgan Stanley means belonging to an ideas-driven culture that embraces new perspectives to solve complex problems. Morgan Stanley Blue Paper: Autonomous Cars. The risks of investing inemerging market countriesare greater than risks associated with investments in foreign developed countries. At Morgan Stanley, we put our beliefs to work. Global institutions, leading hedge funds and industry innovators turn to Morgan Stanley for sales, trading and market-making services. IT hardware-software and Internet and media companies can get fairly creative about how passengers end up passing their time riding in autonomous cars. Aerospace & defense majors have been making investments, startups are attracting capital, and megatech platforms are actively involved. Currently, they control much of the value of the car by designing and producing the major structures, powertrain, major systems and, of course, branding and distribution. "We expect a potential announcement of proof of reality in a North American metropolitan area as early as 2016.". But what are the business implications for manufacturers as the world flips the switch from combustion to battery? Our insightful research, advisory and investing capabilities give us unique and broad perspective on sustainability topics. This late in the business cycle, investors should emphasize actively-managed funds and income-producing securities with reasonable valuations.

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